Big Ten Basketball 2020-21 Discussion (Part 1)

I think NW blowouts over APB and Chicago State are doing too much work there. Especially to look at anything without preseason adjustments.

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True. But I think you can reasonably say Northwestern is a top 60-80 team and not a complete abomination. At which point 7 points at home against a team that has not exactly been stellar so far on the year is a lot. Looks like it opened at +4 and was bet up. Feels like a solid opportunity to get a couple points of smart value.

This has inspired me to take a look at the board and make some bets today. :laughing:

Can you? Based on what? I mean maybe they are a top 80 team but I don’t think a 1-point home loss to Pittsburgh really tells us anything that concrete.

Sign me up for all three “road” favorites.

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That’s something you never want to say :sweat_smile:but this is a unique year in CBB so

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Yeah, I actually think road favorites in conference play could have a bit of an edge this year depending on how long it takes to figure out HCA.

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Pittsburgh has an okay sample and they’re probably in that range as well and they’re likely similarly matched teams due to how their game played out. And even if you can’t get a ton from blowouts versus sub-350 teams, we’ve seen the worst Northwestern teams not do that well in those type of games. And also… that’s usually what Northwestern has been under Collins. They aren’t an abominably bad sub 100 team every year.

Northwestern has some decent talent. They shouldn’t be sub-100 caliber based on that. Not sure id bet that game though. I try to avoid game where I already have a vested interest

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Jumped on Illinois -1 and MSU -4.5 last night. Both feel insanely low with no crowds.

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Nice, getting on those early is definitely the best play

Talent wise, no. Coaching wise… well…

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I mean anything can happen but are we really debating whether MSU is going to win by 5 against NW?

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My only concern with betting this game would be losing to a bad beat cover because Northwestern, down nine, hit a garbage time three (based on the current line of MSU -7).

They made the tournament that one time tho

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Now you’re just trolling! :joy:

I laughed out loud at that, then suddenly felt bad, then remembered Chris’s downward dog pose, then suddenly felt less bad.

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I predict MSU over NW by 20+.

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Touissant’s turnovers on back-to-back possessions late in yesterday’s game illustrate your point well. Fran needed him to be out there because he was the one perimeter guy who could get to the basket and score quickly. But, those 2 turns dashed any hopes of a miracle comeback finish.

Being great athletes is not a requirement for having an elite offense. Iowa’s offense is awesome because they have a bunch of great shooters surrounding the most efficient low post scorer in the country. Teams are forced to watch Garza score at will in the post or send help and leave elite shooters open. They take and make good shots from all over the court.

Noting that they are not the most athletic team isn’t exactly a racist statement. I mean Wieskamp is pretty athletic, but McCaffery and Bohannon are not exactly going to win a foot race against most opponents nor are they going to win any dunk contests. Iowa’s perimeter players have a hard time staying in front of quicker guards and Garza is insanely plodding so he can’t really provide any help.

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Rutgers/ILL is super intriguing. A lot of info can be gleaned from this matchup. Normally the RAC would be off the hinges. Will see what happens but this game feels like one where the lack of home court advantage could be a factor.