Podcast: Michigan is headed to another Sweet 16

Well, I always thought DeVante’ would play in that game. But I think the fact that Tennessee was not a ball screen-heavy offense and played traditional bigs that Hunter could attack always set up pretty well. I know the Indiana game happened, but ball pressure had never really been a big issue for this team this year.

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Between the end of the Indiana game and the start of the Colorado State game, Michigan’s opponents were on a 56-17 run.

It did not feel good.

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I think people really underestimate how important road records are to the committee. Duke was 9-2.

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They literally came up with the NET rankings to properly identify the weight to give to home/neutral/road games. Nobody cares if Duke beat Pitt, BC or Louisville on the road (Q3 games even on the road). Duke had 7 Q1 wins. Tennessee had 11. Duke had a Q3 loss. Tennessee didn’t. Tennessee won the SEC tourney. Duke didn’t win the ACC tourney.

I obviously am not going to get worked up about two teams I don’t care about, but on paper, Tennessee had the better resume. You can think Duke is better than Tennessee based on eye test, but that doesn’t have anything to do with which team had the better tournament resume.

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Back to the MSU part of the pod…are we sure Hall is a piece to build around next year? There was definitely a point in the season that I thought he was their best player and needed a lot more minutes, but he struggled down the stretch. I agree with the “too many players” idea but they are set up for that next year too…

PG - Walker (25), Hoggard (15)
SG - Hoggard (15), Akins (25)
SF - Christie (30), Brooks? (10)
PF - Hall (25), Brooks (10), TBD (5)
C - Transfer (20), Marble (15), Sissoko (5)

How’s that any different except that you might get a blow up.from Akins and Christie? Also, even if we like Hall there’s zero reason to expect Izzo to give him more than 25mpg. He never has and he didn’t we Brown, Hauser, Bingham, etc.

Gabe went from 21 to 29 minutes this year. I’d expect something similar with Hall.

Duke not only was favored by the committee but they got “top 2” consideration and got slotted in their back yard in South Carolina - nearly a home game for them.

Edit: Forgot to mention the pod was very entertaining. Also, not that I care, but the profanity filter was definitely inactive during this pod. LOL.

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Do we know if Devante’ has practiced? I’m assuming the team travels sometime today, perhaps this morning for an afternoon practice at the ATT Center.

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Michigan meets with the media today and we should learn more.

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Sounds like they are aggressively going after a wing and a center in the portal too. If you add someone like Jalen Bridges to the rotation you get essentially the same roster clog you had last year (minus 20 Joey Hauser minutes, which I’m honestly not sure is a good thing for MSU to lose, the kid shot 46% from three on 2.5 attempts per game in conference play, single handedly won them the Davidson game and the fans still hate him).

If you throw Bridges in there for 20-25 minutes at the 3/4, it probably slides Christie down to more time at the 2 at the expense of Akins. Or it eliminates Brooks from the rotation entirely.

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Duke won the ACC regular season, Tennessee didn’t win the SEC regular season. Everyone knows the committee doesn’t place much weight on the conference tournaments.

You seem to be ignoring the entire NET rankings/Team
Sheet system that was set up to assess and compare resumes

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Normally that would be worth a lot, but this year’s ACC has the second worst AdjEM in the KenPom era. Considering the second, third, and fourth place teams (UNC, ND, and Miami) were 8, 11, and 10 seeds, that pretty much tells you that it was quite the bad season for the conference.

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You are aware of last weekend’s results, correct?

If NET is dispositive, why doesn’t the seed line mirror the NET rankings?

I am, but I’m not sure that UNC beating Baylor and Miami beating Auburn negates a season’s worth of data that shows the conference was overall quite mediocre.

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The NET is used more for your opponents than your own team. It is used to organize the games into quadrants. Tennessee’s resume was better. They had 4 more Q1 wins, 4 more Q1/2 combined wins, and no Q3 losses. They also had better results based and predictive metrics like SOR, KPI, BPI, Kenpom. Their SOS was significantly better than Duke. That is all objective data. The point of the team sheets is so you don’t focus solely on the name “Duke” when assessing the teams. I don’t know why you’re stumping so hard for Duke right now.

Also, hindsight is irrelevant. Just because Michigan is in the Sweet 16 doesn’t mean they should’ve had a top 4 seed. Likewise, just because Duke beat MSU and Tennessee lost to Michigan doesn’t mean the seedings were justified. Also the fact that Miami and UNC are in the sweet 16 and Kentucky, Tennessee and Auburn are not doesn’t mean the ACC was better than the SEC. It’s a one game elimination tournament that is largely matchup based

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Because that’s not how NET is used, nor should it be.

Feels like the same conversation as last year… 48 games is not enough data to override thousands of them.