Feels like Xavier’s numbers are strictly better. These dudes have an advantage in usage… but Xavier has just as much true usage/burden in the offense, he’s just successfully converting that extra usage into assists instead of missing shots. Seems like there’s a major flaw in KP’s POY formula where it’s overrating points of usage at the high end and not valuing Assist Rate as much as it should.
Note: I didn’t include TO Rate since that’s already factored into the overall ORating.
Well, certainly now that Wagner is playing, but he has a ways to go yet. I will be more interested to see how we do against Louisville and Oregon. We added nicely to our resume over the weekend, but a holiday tournament in a tropical paradise is a bit like a bowl game-mental preparation has a tendency to outweigh talent more than it might in a regular season game on someone’s home court. Scores can get a little skewed.
This sounds like an opinion presented as a fact. I don’t mean to say that you are wrong, but I don’t know how you could prove this and even if you did for one team that doesn’t mean it translates to every team. The more I think about it though, the tv programming for the tournaments kept mentioning the tournament winner going on to with the big dance, but even that is anecdotal.
Of course it’s an opinion. As many things stated on this board are. Even though they are not always prefaced with “in my opinion”, that doesn’t mean that people are declaring them to be unquestionably true.
Well, there are tournaments and there are Tournaments. What we just played in was the former. That doesn’t mean we weren’t impressive or that those wins won’t be important come March.
It looks like CBS updated their top 25 as of this morning and put Michigan at #5. Not sure how/if that correlates with the upcoming AP rankings, but I guess we’ll see.
I haven’t gotten to see them live yet but I’ve been watching their numbers and the amount of quality wins they have. They played a bunch of solid mid majors and beat them handily. 25-35 point thumpings.
Then beating creighton by 31 is extremely impressive. Even though Michigan won I was pretty impressed by creighton, particularly if they were short handed like they stated. They were a top 40 team all day in my book. To beat them by 31 is serious. Then a nice win over Iowa, I don’t even know who they have.
Last year during the season I very much appreciated the Kenpom analytics approach to ranking basketball teams.
Now this year I have learned that their rankings a month into the season are still very much skewed by their preseason assumptions. I think that sucks!
The rankings are meant to be predictive. If they weren’t at all based on some kind of preseason projection, that would be almost impossible early in the season because there would be no way to determine how good most wins are.
One guy that does these types of rankings for football (Bill Connelly), actually found that including preseason projections throughout the whole season makes them more predictive. Or maybe it was KenPom himself that found that, but said he doesn’t do it anyway since it’s a small difference.
The preseason numbers make the predictions more accurate or he wouldn’t have them. They’re useful for keeping you from overreacting to one early season win or loss.