The big thing with transfers is fit. And it takes two sides to see fit. And it probably means overlooking some things. And it isn’t always one guys fault if the fit is just OK because something else happened.
But there are a lot of transfers that go to the wrong school. And a lot of schools that recruit the wrong transfer.
As far as up transfers, it’s tough to have THREE up transfer starters and an Oregon State transfer (is that an up transfer?).
Nowell wasn’t great his first year. Maybe theres something to the idea of a second year giving them a chance to blow up. If Michigan had gotten another year out of Mike Smith or Davante they would have been quite good. Nowell got his second year and was much better
If Dalton Knecht can come from the Big Sky, someone can come from the Ivy
The key is finding high major guys being held back by their situation. Examples: Chaundee, Nkamhoua, Burnett
Or Uptransfers that need better teammates. Examples: Knecht, Mike Smith
Definitely that’s a great point and a huge part I forgot to mention. So many examples of guys who looked absolutely terrified/confused in Year 1 turning into monsters in Year 2. Tyson Walker being one. Pickett wasn’t nearly as bad at first but he went from fine to superstar.
Jones absolutely would have been similar for Mich I think.
Oh yeah Pickett is a great example. Uptransfer grads will be limited ceiling usually, I think. They’d need to have a very defined role on a good team, can’t count on them to elevate your team
I wanna rag on ASU for needing a massive comeback to pull this off, but apparently UMass Lowell is a top 100 Torvik team and top 125 KP team? So not great but not awful either