Minnesota worries me a bit less now. Still have some good players though.
Like who? The only time they were competitive is when Murphy was unstoppable down low and Coffey was going off. Now they have neither. Theyâre going to have bigger offensive issues than Michigan.
Kalscheur is really, really underrated. One of the best shooters in the conference and a low-key good defender. Daniel Oturu had a solid year and I think he benefits greatly from an offseason. Theyâre gonna offer the same two-big look they did last year with him and Eric Curry, if Curry can finally stay healthy. Payton Willis and Marcus Carr will be eligible too to play.
Now, obviously, Iâm not expecting a ton from them without Coffey, but I still think theyâll be mid-tier (probably closer to lower-mid) in the conference.
With that roster and their coaching Iâm thinking seven Big 10 wins would be an achievement.
What worries me is they donât have a go-to guy without Coffey. If they did though, I wouldâve been moderately high on them.
Minnesota also has two sit out transfers that will be eligible as sophomores in Marcus Carr (formerly of Pitt) and Peyton Willis (formerly of Vandy). Both will be solid. I think Curry makes a big jump. Itâs usually the second season after a major injury that players will return to how they were before. He was very solid as a freshmen.
They could have really been something if Carr got his waiver last year. He seemed to be the only one who didnât get one.
Torvik has his 2020 projections, which I believe have been among the most accurate. MSU is 1⌠Michigan is 35
Not surprised MSU is #1. Great depth chart going into next year with Winston and Tillman and that army of wings they have. Even a good battle at backup PG.
Yeah, heâs a very good college player, but he should be taking Spanish or Greece and getting ready for that kind of career. At his height, you need real speed at the 5 in the NBA.
Both Faulds and Davis get more time than CC ??? This thing has absolutely no credibility whatsoever.
I believe that this is metric based and not a person making evaluations. Faulds having played at Columbia and Davis playing more minutes and being a Junior/Senior probably play a large role over CC who has played limited minutes as a freshman. Everyone who has watched Michigan basketball last year have a similar sense to what you do
Their metric is lacking if it doesnât account for when players got their minutes. Davis got most of his minutes early in the season, Castleton got his late and injuries werenât a factor. Thatâs got to be indicative.
Itâs also projecting Brooks to be one of the most blindingly terrible offensive major rotation pieces in major conference play. Based on his past performance, this seems feasible.
Matthews ORTG was lower.
I feel very good about the 40 minutes at center between Teske and Castleton, then about Simpson and Livers playing about 65 minutes between them. That leaves 95 minutes to fill between Bajema, Brooks, Johns, Dejulius, Faulds and whoever we sign.
The most realistic outcome to us being good is probably these 3 things happening:
1 - Johns becoming a good 25-30 minute guy
2 - One of the guards steps up. Iâd rank it DeJulius, Bajema, Brooks and Nunez in order based on what weâve seen, recruiting rankings, stats and age. Get 25-30 minutes of good shooting from one and weâre only really missingâŚ
3 - Finding another player before the season either (again in likelihood) Wilson re-committing, Wagner coming, a transfer or a surprise 2020 reclassification or maybe some de-commits and comes here (is that possible?). Another 25-30 minutes there.
That leaves maybe 10-15 and we know Brooks can give us that without killing us by being useful on defence and if heâs the guy who steps up, itâs not crazy to expect one of DeJulius or Bajema to shoot the ball well enough to be a decent 15 minute guy even if their overall game is still raw.
Where can I bet my life savings that Maryland wonât be a top 6 team in the country next year?