Obviously I subscribe to the “keep the expectations low and be pleasantly surprised if they are exceeded” camp… just like my parents did with me! Wait…
Nope. Indiana would be a very good draw. There might be a better second opponent than Maryland if Michigan avoids the 8/9 game, but IU would be a good first game.
If it was in Chicago, I wouldn’t care if it’s Indiana, Rutgers or Purdue. I still see it as three desperate teams, not who’s the best matchup.
I tilt it toward rather playing Rutgers or Purdue because it’s in Indianapolis. It’s not always matchup-based and analytics. I think you always go that route and don’t account for the mental aspect enough.
I will buy the home-court advantage as somewhat of a factor. I don’t think it matters who the game is against as far as desperation, anyone Michigan plays on Thursday is going to be fighting to make the NCAA Tournament.
If you want other mental aspects about why it could be good to play IU: Indiana is routinely terrible in the Big Ten Tournament, it can be tough to beat a team three times, Indiana probably has the worst coach of the bunch.