I think this year, the past week especially, have really exposed some flaws in Beilein as a coach that the class of 2012 covered up with their talent. I believe that the stars aligned for the 12/13-13/14 seasons in a way that they are unlikely to again (i.e. an under the radar player blowing up to the extent that GR3 and Burke did, and GR3 bringing McGary along), and unless Beilein adapts and makes certain changes, he has peaked. Let’s take a look at his strengths and weaknesses and where he and the program have to improve:
Strengths:
-Talent identification: Indisputable, he has far more hits than misses, both with high-end talent and under the radar guys. THJr, Bruke, Stauskus, GR3, Caris, MAAR, Booker, Bates-Diop, he simply ID’s players as well or better than anyone else. Offering Walton before Izzo was a great call (although on the flipside, I would really like to have Javon Bess given the current roster makeup right now).
-Offensive skill development: The low TO% and (normally) great shooting is certainly in part a product of playing with 4 perimeter players, but the staff also does a great job coaching and developing fundamental offensive skills from the day the players arrive in Ann Arbor.
-Offensive scheme: Floor spacing is supberb, passing and driving lanes are open that allow for players to take advantage of their skill development. Beilein’s teams are a headache to defend.
Weaknesses:
-Talent acquisition: Recruiting failures have been well-documented recently. I worry that this is a personality issue, and something that can’t be remedied with more resources or effort. What can be remedied is the amount of redundant skill sets on the team. I worry that the recent success has gone to Beilein’s head, and he believes he can win with any mix of skill sets.
-Defensive scheme/personnel: This is the trade off for the low TO% and good shooting that comes with 4 perimeter players. Beilein’s teams will always be undersized and will struggle on the boards due to their lack of size and physicality. This is something that UM can live with if the talent/athleticism is present to compensate.
-In-game coaching: This is where most will disagree with me. Beilein gets flustered in-game and makes poor decisions. We’ve beaten the 1-3-1, the inbounding, and other specific scheme issues to death, but the thing that sticks out to me is the lack of command that Beilein has in high pressure situations. Asking the players what they want to do at the end of the Northwestern game with regards to fouling or playing defense is outrageous. It’s as concerning as the story about Beilein flipping out in the huddle at the end of the Tennessee game last year, and I believe it was Spike who said he just started shouting and talking so fast that no one could understand what he was saying, and it was the PLAYERS who had to calm the COACH down. That’s unacceptable.
I worry that the talent acquisition won’t mask the other flaws going forward, and that Michigan does not win another Big Ten title or advance to a Final Four again under Beilein. That’s not to say he’s a bad coach, far from it. He likely has 3-5 years left, and if he simply keeps us afloat, a team that makes the tournament 80% of the time and reaches a Sweet 16 or two, then the program will be ripe for a more dynamic personality, like LaVall Jordan or another young and aggressive coach, to come take the program back to the level it was in the 80s. If Beilein lands 2 of Brown/Langford/Murray/Battle/Winston/another high-end player in the next 2 years, then I’m wrong and the sky’s the limit for this program in the near future. Here’s hoping.