2021 NBA Draft Discussion

But did you adjust for the value his brand gained at ASU?

7 Likes

I’ve decided Julian Champagnie is the sleeper that I want the Bulls to nab w/ their only pick in the 2nd round.

1 Like

When people discuss Cunningham’s ā€œlack of top tier athleticismā€ I guess I just wonder what that means in practical terms. Luka Doncic, James Harden, Trae Young, and Kawhi Leonard are probably 4 of the…6 or 7?..most dangerous one on one offensive players in the NBA, and I wouldn’t qualify any of them as ā€œelite athleticallyā€ (until Keon Johnson this year, the highest vertical in the NBA belonged to…Pat Connaughton). Cunningham has a high motor, is an elite shooter, and a welllll above average passer. This guy is a big, big big time offensive difference maker.

I am pretty low on Hayes’ ceiling, but lots of what Cunningham can do makes a guy like Hayes (good passer, good defender) a ton more palatable.

6 Likes

If vertical jump defines NBA, then they should start drafting football players.

I think it means he’s not going to blow by you with speed or dunk from really far from the basket like a Jalen Green or Anthony Edwards.

1 Like

I need to watch more Cunningham, but the consensus seems to be that his first-step is mediocre and he has some trouble turning the corner around a guy guarding him. But yeah, you can still be an elite offensive player without having an elite first-step.

Yeah, I get it. I just don’t think it really matters. 6% of Anthony Edwards’ shots were dunks, 1% of Luka’s were. Guess who shot better at the rim…

Obviously there is 1 Luka. But I just remember the same basic critique being lobbed at him pre-draft. He was a mediocre athlete who’d have a hard time getting to spots inside the arc.

He is a mediocre athlete! But…turns out it didn’t matter.

2 Likes

The few negative things I’ve heard about Cade is turnovers and not having great numbers around the rim as far as volume and percentage. But the latter might be because defenses keyed on keeping him away from the basket and his teammates weren’t good enough shooters to dissuade them.

He’s not a poor athlete so I think having more space to work with will alleviate those concerns. That being said, he’s still the consensus top prospect so it’s not like it’s a big knock against him.

1 Like

On a slightly different topic, I’m honestly sort of surprised that the consensus seems to be lining behind Suggs over Green. Green was mostly better against a higher level of competition. Suggs played in a great offensive ecosystem against mostly bad comp and shot the ball pretty mediocrely. In order to be an elite guy in the NBA, especially at 6’4", you really need to shoot off the dribble. Suggs is definitely not a BAD prospect, but the NBA is really coelescing around 6’6"+ guys who can handle and shoot and defend…I see 2 of those in this draft. If you could teach Barnes to shoot, maybe a third.

My board would go Cade, Green, Suggs.

If I had the 4th pick Id probably see if I could trade it to someone who really wanted Mobley, or swallow hard and take Barnes.

5 Likes

I’m with you here and the post above, @mgl . Franichse players now aren’t necessarily the best athletes, but the best shooters, dribblers and passers. They thrive with the ball in their hand when they can maintain that shoot-pass-drive triple threat as long as possible into the shotclock. Make you make a choice and then make you pay for it.

2 Likes

I think most of the players who come out of the woodwork to be surprises or even stars happen bc teams underrate IQ. The few who hated on Luka did the same. The folks who wanted Wiseman rather than LaMelo did the same. Guys who process the game intuitively and play fast regardless bc they understand what’s happening around them and have either the skill on offense or length on defense to do something about it are guys I’d put money on beating their NBA eval.

The only nit I’d pick re: Cade is that IMO he wasn’t always a great competitor. I think a lot of people won’t agree with me there though considering what that OKST team did. His skill level is just bananas for his age though and I think he was kind of bored/annoyed with his team a good amount.

2 Likes

I think Suggs has a definite ceiling - I think he’ll be solid but unspectacular. Like Conley or Lowry (sometime all star level).

Meanwhile Green and Kuminga have that potential to be perennial all-stars. I also think both have greater bust potential (especially Kuminga).

I also don’t like Barnes as much (I’m low on any player who doesn’t project as even an average shooter…or at least a threat).

My Board:

  1. Cade
  2. Green
  3. Mobley
  4. Kuminga
  5. Suggs
1 Like

Isn’t shooting a big concern w Kuminga?

3 Likes

I hear you…it was just 13 games, but Kuminga’s shooting in the G-League but the fear of the lord in me about his future to the point I don’t really see him as being more promising than Barnes in this respect (and I like Barnes’ broader skillset).

2 Likes

From what I could tell, shooting was not a concern about Kuminga until he failed to shoot in the G League. Barnes’ shooting has been consistently feared. I think in HS, lots of people chalked his lower percentages up to poor shot selection.

Honestly, there is a pretty solid argument that Isaiah Todd was the 2nd best player on the Ignite team.

1 Like

Yeah I really don’t know much at all about the Ignite guys, especially since Dunc’d On went paid. But the FT% is pretty worrisome from what I can tell. FTR:

Kuminga - 63% on 48 attempts
Barnes - 61% on 66 attempts.

1 Like

I can respect that. I think Kuminga’s shot looks a bit better - he has some mechanics he needs to clean up, but I like it better than Barnes (who looks pretty flat footed).

Don’t get me wrong, Barnes may very well end up being the better player - it’s just a preference based on limited video I’ve seen.

1 Like

I would take Mobley over Suggs. Scouts seem to be saying that Mobley is pretty special with his vision, defense, and physical tools. I have Suggs a solid 4th. His ceiling is below Kuminga but his floor is waaay above it.

5 Likes

Mobley is just too fascinating. I’d take him over everybody but Cade…but man, he could be anything. His skills and IQ at that size are really high, but he seems like a just OK competitor to me? Was surprised the amount you’d kind of just forget he was on the court at USC from the few games I watched. OTOH, you can see how that’s a good thing.

You could tell he was trying to do the right thing for his team rather than the right thing for himself and as a guy who probably profiles as an impact defender and a complementary piece on offense, maybe that’s exactly what you want?

It’s a silly thing to wish for given all of his talent but I wish he was already a 75+% FT shooter. I’d feel a lot better about his floor.

3 Likes

Lol, what are you basing your lack of competitiveness on for your top 2 prospects? Body language?