2017-18 Bracketology

Get the big ten tournament 5 seed, lose the first game to Iowa/Illinois/Rutgers I could see getting stuck with a 7 seed.

Lose to Nebraska in the big ten tournament, I think they get a 6 seed.

Beat Nebraska, lose to MSU, a 5 or 6 seed.

Beat Nebraska and MSU, lose in the title, a 4 or 5 seed.

Win the big ten tournament, a 3 or 4 seed

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That seems about right to me.

Note that MSU has to win today to be the #1 seed. If they lose, put OSU in their place in these hypotheticals.

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:pray:t2: Please Wisky

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One possible benefit of having the BTT a week earlier is that an impressive performance, like UM’s last year, sometimes seems like it has only so much effect when it comes right before the bracket is finalized. The bracket is already largely completed and members have a reluctance to change it much based on a couple recent days. If a team like UM (or OSU, for instance,) could go on a run this year, those games might get factored in more in terms of seeding.

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Michigan now up to #13 in coaches poll and #15 in the AP.

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Now that is a metric that won’t be on the team sheet :slight_smile:

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The committee is supposed to consider whether a team has been playing better or worse recently though, so a little bit of the logic that goes into the polls is probably relevant.

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No. They are not.

“Last 10” used to be a metric that was used five or six years ago, but it has been removed from the criteria.

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oh, ok
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But they do, right? Teams bob to the top and sink based on single games. You all have convinced me that how a team is playing at the end of the season shouldn’t factor into NCAA seeding. But if it’s Week 16, then I think voters should be weighing in on who’s the best IN week 16.

Did anyone follow the debate or rationale behind the decision to remove “last ten games.”

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Some computer metrics (including kp) weight recent games more heavily.

Michigan basketball prepping for unusual postseason waiting game

Hopefully two weeks off will help Isaiah Livers look better on his feet. Many have focused on the negatives, but that could be a real positive for Michigan.

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If I am a team that is playing well and peaking at the right time, I would prefer to keep playing and not take a week off.

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I still see us listed as a 6 in lots of spots. Polls don’t matter in seeding but 15 in the country sounds about right to me. I’d still take us head to head with some teams ranked above that but…, I’d be pretty disappointed in a 6. Honestly the pairings is what matters most though. I feel really good about the state of the team and think they can do damage here.

Whether we’re the 15th best team in the country or not is completely irrelevant to our seeding. Like it or not, we simply don’t have as many good wins (or opportunities for them) as enough other teams, leading us to a 5/6 right now.

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