Game 14: Michigan at Purdue Open Thread

Yeah didn’t think Dylan had that in him LOL

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I think that’s just doing the “games behind” thing that, say, the NBA standings show which accounts for different amount of games being played though, right? I think math stuff needs to be done to really figure it out. Which to be fair, Reegs could’ve done.

Yeah but in a standard conference slate, you don’t have to do any math beyond the loss column because everyone plays the same number of games.

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@adamsmit86 should we add a heated and toxic debate about turnover rate to the mix? Because I was about to talk about Hunter’s in the past three games, but I don’t know if I want this thread to get that spicy.

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I don’t fully understand, but choose to blindly accept this so that I don’t have to use my brain.

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That’s a good call. Craft did do pretty well against Burke, relatively speaking compared to other players (Trey had 16 and 8, 15 and 4 in the two matchups that year). I think Craft was a little better defender than X though and was a little bigger too. I think Burke could give Simpson the Payton Pritchard treatment

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Craft is definitely the superior defender. X a massively better offensive player. Don’t get me started on the idiots that voted Aaron craft over Stauskas this summer for the all decade team.

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I have found a more responsible mid-major comp. Paul Atkinson of Yale

So Kenpom only thinks Nebraska will get in 14 league games? Yikes. And only 17 for Sparty.

KenPom doesn’t predict when games will happen :rofl: Those are just based on the games that have been postponed and not rescheduled.

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Is there any realistic chance Nebraska gets 20 games in if they are unable to play throughout the entirety of the first collapsable bye week?

I mean, I haven’t given this a ton of thought, but I’d have assumed before this that he would project teams to play their full schedule until proven otherwise. I’m surprised that he actually takes postponed games off the projections entirely.

Think it depends what year we’re talking about for X. He dropped off a bit defensively in year 3 and 4, but was elite in year 2. The opposite can be said about offense.

Look at it another, simpler way: Kenpom only predicts games that are currently scheduled.

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That was the loudest and most favorite game that I attended, and I was at most that year.

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It’s sort of recency bias in that after each game, a team’s schedule is re-run using their updated efficiency margin number, and if that results in an individual game flipping from loss to win or vice versa, and it’s enough to change the cumulative probability of winning each game, then the predicted record for remaining games will change.

I think I have that right, but if I’m wrong or it makes no sense, I apologize.

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I was supposed to go to that game but got sick that day while at work and instead had to watch from home. :sob:

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Good take. They did, and that’s that. MSU had the ability to punish lapse-prone teams down the stretch, Michigan wasn’t good enough to play that way. I don’t think you would evaluate the team of the decade-based solely on its ability to beat MSU, because Izzo’s teams were different too, but on the flip side it also seems strange to me to not consider 0-3 against your rival. Great team nonetheless with some fun memories, and no shame in how it ended. Still got to the second week of the tournament.

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I’d love to see the 2018 team play both '14 and '13. Z/Burke, it also McGary vs Mo and Matthews on Stauskas. I think a team of the decade conversation has to mention '14. Your outright conference champion; a shot away from the final four. Good enough to overcome its flaws in the tightest of games.

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I had a friend in town from Kansas who told me he had never heard Allen fieldhouse as loud as Crisler was pregame.

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