A little late, but I thought Thursday's game against UoD was encouraging, overall

As a side-note, I was happy for Juwan Howard, Jr., to have a big game at Crisler. I’m sure he would have liked to have things work out differently in recruiting, and he’s turned himself into quite a good player.

Okay, first, I thought Donnal looked pretty good. He hit a mid-range jumper for the 2nd game in a row, had a nice block, generally provided decent help defense, and had a nice back-door pass (as did Bielfeldt). He did miss a lefty lay-up and could’ve gone up stronger on that one. But between him and Bielfeldt, I’m feeling pretty good that we can at least put out someone solid for 40 minutes, and there aren’t that many teams, especially on the upcoming schedule, who can take advantage of any weakness there. We’re clearly limited a bit there right now - Bielfeldt was stuff badly when he tried a post move - but I’m hopeful we can improve in that spot as the year goes on.

Second, Walton, Irvin, and LeVert are not just all very good, they’re guys to go to battle with, as the saying goes. They are tough, willing to take the big shot, all while generally keeping composure.

Third, the lineup with Albrecht and Walton seems a pretty good fall-back when we go that way. Again, I’m not sure there are that many teams that can really punish us for going small.

Fourth, Detroit shot over 47% from three, over ten points higher than their average so far, while we shot below our average, especially until late – all in a nothing-to-lose game for them, one that they were probably particularly amped for, in a not-much-to-gain game for UM.

Obviously, there still are concerns, primarily at the 4 and 5 spot, and we’re still getting some early-season yips out of the way, but I didn’t feel so panicky after watching the game like others clearly did. We should know a bit more over the next couple days.

While I think we’ll know more about how the team will do early in the season after the next few days, I also think that we will be a far better team late in the season than we will be over the next month or so. Cut and pasted below is an article from December 2013 regarding major college coaches whose teams consistently improve from November/December to year end. It was written BEFORE last year’s turnaround, which means that if anything, it understates Beilein’s abilities in this regard. The following is from Dan Hanner, then of realgm.com, and now from that site and also si.com.

If you are looking for a coach whose team typically does get better later in the year, look no further than Michigan head coach John Beilein. In 8 of the last 10 seasons and for six straight years, Beilein’s teams have seen their Pyth. Winning Percentage improve after the opening two months.
John Beilein Off Nov/Dec Off Later Def Nov/Dec Def Later Pyth Nov/Dec Pyth Later
2004 West Virginia 106.0 107.7 98.1 96.7 0.6884 0.7508
2005 West Virginia 114.8 115.6 92.1 97.2 0.9053 0.8554
2006 West Virginia 115.6 117.8 96.6 93.9 0.8625 0.9108
2007 West Virginia 112.8 119.7 85.3 97.2 0.9460 0.8938
2008 Michigan 105.1 104.5 103.7 95.5 0.5348 0.7170
2009 Michigan 112.0 111.4 97.3 94.7 0.8087 0.8406
2010 Michigan 105.5 107.6 97.1 91.4 0.7006 0.8422
2011 Michigan 105.2 115.2 90.0 94.6 0.8315 0.8837
2012 Michigan 112.1 113.1 96.8 93.4 0.8187 0.8762
2013 Michigan 119.4 124.1 89.7 92.9 0.9496 0.9509

Michigan has been extremely underwhelming in its marquee games this year. But in the past John Beilein has been able to solve his team’s weaknesses, and based on his track record, it is fair to expect significant improvement.
In general, here are the Top 10 coaches at getting their teams to play better over the course of the season. (Note I am only counting seasons when coaching at a major program over the last 10 years, and including coaches with at least 4 years of data.)

Coach Team Pyth Nov/Dec Pyth Later Diff
Chris Mack Xavier 0.7701 0.8387 0.0687
Mark Fox Georgia/Nevada 0.6973 0.7601 0.0628
Mike Brey Notre Dame 0.8273 0.8796 0.0523
John Beilein Michigan/West Virginia 0.8046 0.8521 0.0475
Chris Mooney Richmond/Air Force 0.5939 0.6393 0.0454
Shaka Smart VCU 0.8001 0.8425 0.0425
Kevin Stallings Vanderbilt 0.8166 0.8574 0.0408
Scott Drew Baylor 0.6965 0.7371 0.0406
Fran Dunphy Temple 0.7737 0.8088 0.0351
John Giannini La Salle 0.5533 0.5833 0.0300

As a side-note, I was happy for Juwan Howard, Jr., to have a big game at Crisler. I'm sure he would have liked to have things work out differently in recruiting, and he's turned himself into quite a good player.

Okay, first, I thought Donnal looked pretty good. He hit a mid-range jumper for the 2nd game in a row, had a nice block, generally provided decent help defense, and had a nice back-door pass (as did Bielfeldt). He did miss a lefty lay-up and could’ve gone up stronger on that one. But between him and Bielfeldt, I’m feeling pretty good that we can at least put out someone solid for 40 minutes, and there aren’t that many teams, especially on the upcoming schedule, who can take advantage of any weakness there. We’re clearly limited a bit there right now - Bielfeldt was stuff badly when he tried a post move - but I’m hopeful we can improve in that spot as the year goes on.

Second, Walton, Irvin, and LeVert are not just all very good, they’re guys to go to battle with, as the saying goes. They are tough, willing to take the big shot, all while generally keeping composure.

Third, the lineup with Albrecht and Walton seems a pretty good fall-back when we go that way. Again, I’m not sure there are that many teams that can really punish us for going small.

Fourth, Detroit shot over 47% from three, over ten points higher than their average so far, while we shot below our average, especially until late – all in a nothing-to-lose game for them, one that they were probably particularly amped for, in a not-much-to-gain game for UM.

Obviously, there still are concerns, primarily at the 4 and 5 spot, and we’re still getting some early-season yips out of the way, but I didn’t feel so panicky after watching the game like others clearly did. We should know a bit more over the next couple days.

I agree. We missed a TON of open shots, at least 3-4 three pointers ridiculously rimmed out. We also had some missed layups. We played below our averages and Detroit played above theirs. We still won comfortably.

Beilein will continue to develop and improve this team. We are fine.