Unless the staff has been told of a guaranteed transfer out, Beilein & Co are already kind of hedging its bets by looking at accepting a 5th scholarship for the class of '18. Wagner is most likely going to turn pro after the season, but that’s not a guarantee. So if UM accepts a 5th scholarship it is over signing by one player…albeit with a high probability that a slot naturally will open.
With Beilein’s squeaky-clean reputation I can’t see him over signing by two players…again, with a caveat about guaranteed transfers. In years where UM has had a potential 5th Yr Senior, I could see Beilein allowing the additional over signing and making the determination on the 5th Year based on recruiting results. But this year UM isn’t in that situation.
Note: this isn’t a would I or wouldn’t I take an action, this is a would Beilein or wouldn’t Beilein go down a certain grey area in the NCAA regulations