Michigan Players in the NBA

One that doesn’t assume a short term benefit makes a long term decision a good one.

What’s the argument that the LTV of his professional career would be higher in some other circumstance. He will have more healthy years. More initial earnings and investments. No risk of injury or poor play tanking his draft stock.

4 Likes

Yeah, I don’t see how his stock gets higher given another year at Michigan. Upperclassmen that aren’t genetic freaks don’t get taken in the lottery.

What decision would have changed Stauskas’s path? He made all of the money on a lottery rookie deal and never figured out a way to stick in the league. Now he’s young enough to reboot his career in Europe.

3 Likes

This is all hypotheticals is the point. If he had stayed another year, made some other workout decisions for drafting teams etc. he wouldnt have been on the Kings, wouldnt have Boogie Cousins destroy his confidence, and might still be in the league making twice as much as he in Europe at this point. There is no way that you can make the claim that under other circumstances Stauskas could have definitively been more or less successful and also Poole in this case. People make decisions to the best of their ability but there certainly is not a RIGHT decision

I assume it’s a fairly hard thing to do, otherwise the Warriors wouldn’t have invested so much money in the hope that he could accomplish it. While I accept that sometimes we can make things more complicated than they are, I think this ‘just shoot the ball’ meme probably needs to die a quiet death.

EDIT: I think nswan is right that we probably want to separate the success that’s baked into getting a gazillion bucks from what anyone’s career trajectory might be under other circumstances. The latter is unknowable, which is why opting for the former is pretty likely the right thing for 99 percent of players. Which is why we should stop resenting it when that is what they focus on.

Poole’s going to have earned ~$10m by age 25. It’s very difficult to understand any argument that he didn’t make the right decision.

4 Likes
1 Like

I love Wagner’s response to be benched for lack of energy - “He’s not wrong”

4 Likes

My point is not just to shoot the ball but to be ready to shoot. The ball sticks way to often IMO to JP, perfecting his skill set will improve his chances.

1 Like

Duncan on fire in the first quarter, 14 points 4 of 6 from three. Catch the ball…shoot the ball!!

3 Likes

Could we be sure? Yes. A thousand times yes.

1 Like
17 Likes

Finishing 10-14 from 3. The rest of the Heat 4 for 27.

1 Like
8 Likes

Duncan also blocked Cam Reddish’s dunk on transition … unbelievable

5 Likes

At this point should we be surprised that he “only” shot 41.9% at Michigan (38.4% his senior year), from a shorter distance?

He was pretty steady here, with a lot of nights like 3-7, 4-8, etc., but I don’t remember too many games like this.

2 Likes

Duncan didn’t just shoot well. He played 43 mins-2nd most on the team and was an amazing +46, again 2nd on the team. He hit a clutch 3 under a min in regulation and had the assist on the game-tying shot in regulation. He had 3-threes and 4 assists in OT as well, 2 of which fed dunks. His best game in NBA, and probably since before college.

Poole has plenty of time to mature and have a great career still. I really hope it works out for him, but he will never be a DRob.

5 Likes

He will never be DRob because they have very different skillsets. Poole will be fine with time and has a high ceiling. Who knows if he will ever reach it but you can’t say objectively what he will or won’t accomplish at this point.

1 Like

THJ has been shooting 47.8% from three since becoming a starter (ten games). He’s finally starting to shine as just a knockdown shooter.

4 Likes