I know it’s early, and we should revisit this in a month, but the conference season starts tomorrow so we might as well briefly consider what we’re expecting at this point. A few considerations:
-We skip @Nebraska, @OSU, and @PU.
-We don’t get Illinois or Rutgers at home.
-We are favored by Barttorvik in every game except @MSU, with @Wiscy a virtual tossup. I’d consider @IU a tossup at best too, with @Northwestern and @Iowa the next toughest.
Torvik’s expected record for us is 15-5. That seems kinda right to me. I’d be surprised if we didn’t win at least 13 games, and, barring injury, anything less than 14 would actually be a little disappointing. Conversely, there are a lot of solid teams in the conference, and we likely will have off-shooting nights, perhaps especially against a zone, or miss a bunch of free throws, or come up on a team on fire, so 3 or 4 losses seems highly probable.
Should be in fine shape to have a shot at the regular season title. MSU has a couple losses and seems to have a pretty tough road schedule this year but will be a factor. Based on schedules and early season results, I might put Wiscy as the top threat right now. Nebraska could be right there, and hard to know exactly what to make of IU and PU, but they could be in thick of things too.