Big Ten Basketball 2021-22 Discussion

You could just determine what the win expectations are for play in 11s vs 12s and use those instead of baseline 11s

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It makes sense from a statistical perspective. Mostly just taking a shot at the guy who I think has a legitimate claim to being the best tournament coach of the last twenty years.

I would argue it should still show his “loss” from last year without regard to the expectations of that seed line- Wins and losses are a separate issue from expectations. It should still “count” against him in our minds. :slight_smile:

I think the issue is more that you wouldn’t really want to count that as an NCAA Tournament win when calculating wins over expectation.

A team that wins the play-in but loses in the first round should be the same as a team that isn’t in the play in but loses in the first round.

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Yeah, Torvik jokes are fine but he didn’t come up with the stat :rofl:

I’ve done it, it’s pretty easy. Bump up expected wins by 0.5 for each play in team.

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Oh Torvik jokes are fine, but I’m making fun of Izzo- who really has exceeded seed expectations over the last twenty years in a notable way, but he does have 20 losses, not 19. If he gets credit for the tournament streak last year, he gets credited for the loss last year too.

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I disagree? If your goal is to determine: “How well does this coach perform compared to how the normal team in their situation does?”, then I don’t see why those two HAVE to be the same? Play-in teams will just have a harder threshold of seed expectations to overcome since they’ll get a built in .5?

Yeah, bumping up expected wins by .5 makes sense to me.

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Huh?

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yeah huh indeed. that makes no sense

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Hate watching en masse?

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Only possible explanation, any others would be immediately rejected for implausibility.

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Highest rating on BTN in B1G tournament history.

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Good point. Most of the more intriguing BTT matchups have been on the weekend, therefore not on BTN.

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Heading toward team number 3

Well here you go!:thinking::wink::slightly_smiling_face:

Wait, is this what Ant was referring to? Is Sessoms transferring here?

will he get here in time for Colorado State?

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What do you know! :face_with_monocle: