on the other hand we swept their best team in 20 years. though that was before the secret weapon of Ben Carter had been unleashed
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Torviks projections of 16mpg for Bingham and 30mpg for Hauser sounds like Dylan getting his way with small ball. They could be a pretty good team with that.
I am honestly surprised we haven’t heard more with MSU. Nothing from Henry about the NBA and I expected more players to enter the portal besides Watts. I had my eye on Brown and Bingham as rising seniors that have spent three years in the dog house and will have the same unclear path to playing time next year. Even Hoggard was a possibility.
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A slight increase of 3 pt shot instead of long range will make the rankings jump from 260 to top 150ish and that could make a big difference in their overall offensive efficiency. As a coach/analyst, I rather have them shoot 3 pts at 33-35% as opposed to long twos at 30-35%.
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Like I said, they’ve broken the top 150 once in that span. Most years they’re barely breaking top 200. But even so, to give an example, last year they were 259th in 3P rate (33.9%) and in 2020 they were 175th (37.5%). That’s an extra 3.6% of their shots being 3 pointers. If you say last year’s team has a 3P rate of 37.5%, that gives them 613 3’s out of their 1634 total FG attempts, instead of the 555 they had in real life, or an extra 58 3’s.
MSU hit 32.1% of their 3’s last year. If you hold that percentage for the extra 58 3’s, that’s an extra 19 3’s, or 57 points scored over the course of the season. However if they’re shooting 3’s at a higher rate, that means they’ve taken less 2’s. 58 more 3’s means 58 less two’s to keep that FGA number consistent. If we’re generous and say all those 3’s replace long 2’s, then we can take away 58 of MSU’s 615 long 2’s according to Torvik. According to Torvik they hit those at 42.3% clip, so of the 58 attempts that’s 24 makes, or 48 points.
So throwing all this math together if MSU shot 3’s at the rate they did in 2020 instead of 2021, you make all those new 3’s replace long 2’s for MSU, and hold the rates they hit both at over the course of this last season, MSU would have scored a whopping 9 extra points this year. Even in the most friendly of cases, that does basically nothing to MSU’s season long output. I agree that MSU would benefit from taking more 3’s over long 2’s, even with that their offense was terrible in so many other regards last year. There are reasons they’ll improve next year, but as I said before 80 spots is way too high for me.
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MathematicianMan2424
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Wasn’t Hauser a pretty terrible defensive center?
I am going to show this post to my math class and say, “And this, kids, is why you study math in school. What are you ever going to do with math? THIS IS WHAT YOU’RE GOING TO DO WITH THIS!!!”
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Hauser was not a center even though Izzo played him there.
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True, but given the minutes projection someone mentioned above it seems like that system has him Back at center.
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Wow. So he’s all in? Hiring an agent?
Does not sound like a “testing the waters” declaration based on his statement.
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No mention of retaining eligibility
I think I remember complaints that OSU was getting 4 years of Washington while we only got 2 years of JP
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That was me! This is a great announcement!
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Rothstein’s source is the tweet so…🤷🏼 I guess “potentially” could be doing some work there.
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For some reason other people are reporting that his statement says he isn’t hiring an agent. I don’t quite see that? 
Also, you can hire an agent and retain eligibility so that doesn’t even make sense.
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This tweet from Rothstein doesnt seem to be reporting anything different just interpreting the tweet differently I guess?
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