Hereās the reality. Following our title game run, we have concentrated on elite recruits and have taken commitments from lesser rated guys only when the elite players havenāt panned out. Think of the 2014 kids we recruited hard at the outset: Chatman (got him), KBD, Blackmon, Looney, Booker, Blueitt (stopped recruiting him), Edwards (same). Lots of five star guys there. And then 2015 - Kennard, Coleman, Brunson, Ellenson, Prince Ali (never visited, no offer). All elite talents.
In the meantime, weāve decided not to offer several kids who, had they been offered from 2007-2011, would have been great recruits for us during that time period: Jordan Barnett, Bryant McIntosh, AJ Turner, Sedrick Barefield, Hyron Edwards, Tyler Williams, Matt McQuaid, Barrett Benson, Kyle Ahrens, Matt Moyer, and Kyle Guy. Those are the type of recruits (other than McGary) who comprised our 2013 team - kids ranked in the top 50-120 or so when they committed.
It made perfect sense to chase higher rated kids after 2013, so long as they showed real interest, which seemingly they did. Why would you offer a Jordan Barnett if you think you have a good shot at a Blackmon? But ultimately, we havenāt gotten those kids, and perhaps the guys we āsettledā for (Dawkins, MAAR) arenāt as good as other top 50-150 types we could have landed. It also doesnāt help that Chatman - a five star prospect - simply didnāt play like one this year.
If we miss out on our top 2016 recruits - Leaf (already gone), Thornton, Winston, Ramsey, Towns, Langford, Battle - then perhaps we return to focusing on the top 50-150 type kids again, where we enjoyed a lot of success previously both in recruiting and on the court. Obviously, we have shown we can win with kids like that, so long as a few of them outperform their recruiting rankings, and weāve been pretty good at finding those type of kids.
Certainly, itās disappointing we havenāt really gotten ANY of our top 2014 and 2015 targets (other than Chatman, who was a Plan A all along), but once again, the level of competition for those guys is exponentially greater. Pulling a Kennard away from Duke, UK, and OSU is way harder than pulling Burke away from Cincinnati, or Stauskas away from Iowa State.
For whatever reason, the 2013 title run didnāt lead to a number of five star recruits. In all likelihood, that same thing will happen to Wisconsin after this year, too. The downside with five star guys is that they leave your program after a year or two, and to sustain the same level of excellence, you have to keep replacing them with other five star guys. Even if we got a few here and there, Iām not sure weāll ever be equipped (under JB or any coach) to recruit like that. So, maybe targeting 3-4 year players, and targeting a deep tourney run every 3-4 years, is the future. Sure, Iād prefer 2013/2014 every year, but if thatās the future, it sure beats 1999-2008.