Guys, I think we’re all guilty of taking this thread someother than originally intended…so this will be my last comment regarding perception.
In an effort to kind of summarize this, I’m going to oversimplify this without a bunch of detail, but the premise is very easy to understand…its called reputation.
When a given program is irrelevant for the better part of 15 years, without a tournament appearance for 11 straight years, without a sweet 16 appearance from 94-2013, while only being a nationally ranked team for a total of 8 weeks from 1998 until 2011, with sanctions imposed…I think its safe to say that we established a reputation among the general public for being a downright bad basketball program.
That being said, we’ve started to turn the corner the past 3 years, with 2011-2012 being an above average year, and the last 2 being downright great. But in the totatlity of the circumstances, I think its fair to say that 2 years of being nationally relevant is most likely not engough to overcome 15-20 years of bad history that have been ingrained into the minds of the basketball public. We still have a presumption against us in my opinion due to being so bad for so long. 2 years doesn’t supercede 15-20 in my view.
My definition of a stable, nationally relevant program is determined by this question - can the given program withstand having a bad year without long term negative impact? As it relates to UM, I would say no. If we have a down year in 2015-2016, I think there are possibly long term consequences. The UKs, Dukes, UNCs, MSUs, ULs, UAs can all have a bad year or even 2 without any long term negative impact in terms of recruiting and overall perception. I don’t think UM has reached that platform.
I think you need a solid 4-5 year run to overcome the negative perception in any given sport, but especially college basketball because turnover is so high and thus there will always be questions because the faces are new. I use MSU in football, 2 years ago they still had a certain stigma of being a bad football program despite the fact they had strung together a solid 3 year stretch. Now, I think it is generally accepted that MSU is a nationally relevant football program after 5 consecutive years of “good” football.
We are certainly on our way up the top, but work still needs to be done.