0% chance Charles stays and imo 0% chance Poole and Iggy are both picked ahead of him. Charles’ defense and athleticism are the most translatable skills any of them have.
For context on the Vecenie tweet, his last update on 12/25 he had Poole out of the top 100. So “jumping onto the board in a real way” for him is probably a jump to #50-60
Idk about 0% chance Poole and Iggy are drafted ahead of Matthews. On the majority of other draft projections I have seen for the last month or so, Iggy has been a late first rounder and Matthews is almost always projected as mid to late second round.
I’d say you’re looking at the wrong draft projections then haha. I’m sure there are many that have Iggy ahead of Matthews but the ones I trust for evaluation do not have Iggy that high.
Poole is 19, won’t turn 20 until June 2019. He’s actually a few months younger than Iggy, only a few months older than Reddish and Romeo Langford.
Matthews seems like a guy who doesn’t get drafted that high because of his limited offensive game, but could carve out a lengthy career. The draft is about potential.
I think if Michigan is to win a BIG/national title this year, Michigan will need Iggy, Poole and Matthews to all play at a elite level, which would very likely mean we lose 2 or all 3. I’d take that for national title. Realistically, I honestly think if all 3 play very well to end the year, they could all end up pushing for the first round. Recency bias seems very real in March Madness. Remember when Grayson Allen had a huge end to his freshman year and he didn’t do anything all season leading up to it? Scouts were debating if he was suddenly a first round pick. Mcgary was in a similar spot coming off the bench because he played well in the tournament run in 2013. It’s happened almost every year. So if any one of them played at a elite level to end the year and were solid to finish the regular season, I think any of the 3 could get drafted in the first round. I personally think Iggy or Poole would get drafted higher if all 3 just played like they have this season the rest of the way, but Matthews would be the safest bet. He’s be a low ceiling and moderately high floor because he could likely provide very good perimeter defense and athleticism and a mid range game. His defense and athleticism are his strengths and is the most likely to translate compared to Poole and Iggy’s strengths when going against NBA players. Hopefully this is a conundrum that gets more and more real as the season progresses because it likely means Michigan won’t be losing many games this year and will be competing for trophies.
Beilein mentioned something at the last press conference about Z being in the running as having the most wins for a wolverine (?) ever. Anybody know the details of Z being in the running for having participated in the most won games? Or, did I misunderstand Beilein?
Teske is in the same conversation. Davis too except for redshirt. Those guys have had a lot of success buoyed by winning two big ten tournaments. It’s just a way to motivate X is the way I took it
I’m more in your camp. I think all 3 have too many holes to be automatic entries, though Charles is likely gone regardless of projected draft order. Poole and Iggy will definitely have decisions to make, but I think that barring a deep tourney run, they’re looking at late first round maybe? (best case scenario)? On the flip side, it’s easy to imagine a tournament loss in the sweet sixteen or second round where one or both struggle. That seems to favor their return. It’s been interesting to watch the impact of March success on draft decisions. Recency bias is real.