Bracket Watch: February 21st, 2020

Come on, this is ridiculous. How on Earth is ANY team “deflated” to be playing an equally matched team? That’s silly.

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Michigan is up to the third 6-seed in the latest Matrix and now is included in all submissions (RPI-dependent RealTimeRPI has them as a 10).

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I remember the heyday of RealtimeRPI …it was around the Tommy Amaker era. The site’s design may even predate Amaker.

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Better or worse than Bill Walton’s website?

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Wow! That is vintage.

So I looked at BracketMatrix to see how where our average was for only brackets that updated Sunday were. And I am pretty shocked by how many bracket still had us as a 7. But it looked like a large majority of the brackets are made up of nobodies and noobs to the Matrix. A couple of the absolute worst systems have us as a 7. Only one well thought of bracketologist has us as a 7.

My gut tells me we would be about a 6 right now. What were you thinking?

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I feel like at the moment we are a definite 6 who (at the moment, with lots of good games left) is probably a bit more likely to be a 7 than a 5 if our seeding were to change from a 6.

Michigan has tons of games left potentially, and lots of chances to move up (or, down). I think 6 is very likely.

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Has anyone compared bracket matrix predictions to actual seeding? I know it’s a cool way to see a composite, just wondering what it’s historical accuracy looks like (for us and/or the whole field).

The “Matrix” is the 12th best bracketologist.

http://www.bracketmatrix.com/rankings.html

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Saw this so I looked at Bracketville and he has Michigan as a 4 but my god the Midwest bracket he has them in is brutal. Potentially ku as the one in Indy and duke as the 2.

I don’t see any world where Duke is a 2 seed and not playing in Greensboro.

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Arizona state and Michigan in the sweet 16. Winner gets Josh Christopher.

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The best Bracket predictor according to the matrix (https://bracketville.wordpress.com/bracketology/) now has Michigan a 4 seed. So yes I’d say a 7 right now is silly if you really look at our resume.

Of note, the Matrix probably takes long to reflect the current state of things at this point because not everyone updates their brackets all the time.

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Is there a criteria for what they include in their collection of brackets or do they pretty much just take everything?

I believe the idea is to take everything and then grade people who participate. I’m not sure if they weight stronger performers in the matrix (I don’t think they do).

The more I look at brackets… the more I think landing in the East could be key to a deep run for Michigan. That probably pairs you with SDSU as a 1 seed and the potential of playing at MSG.

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That’s also one of the most blatant narrative type of things that I feel like is always talked about before the NCAA Tournament for certain teams only to end up not mattering. MSU playing at home in Detroit recently, for example.

Well, they have beaten Kansas in each of the prior two years, and going by Bracketville, that’s the 1-8 in our region…