I'm still holding firm that 9-9 is going to be a darn near lock (even though they'll be classified as a bubble team).
I truly think at 9-9 you're more arguing are you in the play-in or safely in, versus are you in the tournament.
I know these "experts" can be hit or miss, but when you have people like CBS's Palm putting them in at 4-6 in conference (before last night's win), then a .500 conference record would do it. I think those with Wichita St, Illinois St and MTSU in the bracket are vastly overrating them. Wichita and Illinois St's resumes are close to awful.