Isn’t everything true until it’s not? Sure, coaches records against each other can result from small sample sizes or mismatched talent. But in this case, there’s also an explanation – Shaka’s teams rely on getting TOs, Beilein teams don’t give TOs. Maybe Shaka is playing differently these days, and he is getting more talent, so we’ll see.
Also, JB is something like 11-4 in neutral court NC games over the past 6 seasons, which is pretty good, and I think we have a pretty good shot at 2-1 in Maui, especially as we probably won’t play ND and WichSt. And his true road losses have been against Duke, AZ, UCLA, SC – pretty elite teams. When he’s played NC State or Clemson or Bradley, he’s done pretty well. So if NC is on an elite level or pretty close, I’d agree that chances aren’t that good, especially with us still putting things together. Is Texas that good? I don’t know, but I wouldn’t count on it, and with JB’s history against Shaka, I’d say 35% is quite reasonable. Maybe I was a little overconfident by saying that I favor us in that game, but I do think our chances are pretty decent.