I guess I’d just like to see those metrics start to play a bigger part in the selection process. Whether we do truly see that this year, we’ll see.
I’ll keep using MSU as another example. They scheduled what would be a good non-conference. The normal metrics are going to punish them because UCONN is worse than usual and Notre Dame’s star player is out for a while, pushing them to bubble team (although they started to struggle when he was healthy). However, we all know MSU is a top 5 team in terms of talent and their other metrics show that. Goes hand in hand.
I’m sure you and I can debate each point well haha, it’s all open to opinion. Which is why the committee’s job is hard.
I think I’d go with something like (a) 80/20 balancing of w/l vs efficiency and (b) 65/35 balance.
On the one hand, wins and losses are what count. The goal is to win, not to win by a lot, and you don’t give out championships based on efficiency margins. On the other hand, if you’re selecting the “best” at-large teams or seeding by which teams are the “best,” then maybe the advanced metrics should play a role. It feels more right to rely on advanced metrics for seeding than selection, because once a team gets in they can keep winning by 1 as long as they want to.
Answer to me is yes margin of victory should come into play, especially because you end up with a good sample size of games by end of year.
That’s where I’ll be really curious this year, is whether we see those new metrics on the resume come into play or if they revert back to RPI heavy seeding/selections.
I could actually see a smaller effect than some think. We will see players from power conferences that are unhappy with playing time and role early on and transfer to smaller schools to guarantee themselves a bigger role. Just like we see from 5th year players.
I guess Gary Trent and Trevon Duval have to go pro now? Or Trent comes back and they’re the deepest team in the nation and most talented. I can’t believe K somehow pulled this off.
But it’s totally believable, right? I don’t know enough about how those guy’s seasons are going - for whatever reason, I haven’t really seen Duke play since the early part of the season.
Back to next year, the sad thing is that there are no longer any MAN teams out there to stop them like back in the day of the Fab 5.
