One thing to consider (besides the whole is a FT with ten seconds left the same as a FT with ten minutes left in the first half):
In close games, the final minutes might actually be different than the minutes halfway through the first half – more possessions (because of fouling), more foul shots, etc. Or, conversely, longer possessions and isolation plays where one team is trying to milk clock. Also, are the strategic decisions (e,g, whether to pull the ball out and run clock or not) the same (not just of the same importance, but literally different calculations) at all junctures of the game. I don’t have the answers, just wondering whether the standard response to auto bench that a point is a point necessarily accounts for the full picture (even leaving aside clutchness type arguments).