To me, all this sounds like a spring take if we can persuade him to hold off on the basis that we need to see academic progress. You're right about Beilein shying away from close academic calls--in addition, he often shies away from signing beyond the number of scholarships and letting things sort themselves out later. Right now, we have three open scholarships (counting DeJulius as in), but it seems very possible/likely that there will be more: (1) Wagner (and even Matthews) are possible early entries; (2) if they stay, a guy like Watson (or one of the two sophomore centers in Wagner's case) might get tired of sitting; (3) if Simpson's play doesn't tick up this year to the point where he knows he's the heir apparent next year, what does he do; etc. Brown, with academics in order, would be a great get in those circumstances. Maybe Beilein will oversign this year--if he doesn't though, my guess (and it's strictly a guess) is that this is the direction the Brown recruitment is headed, at least as of right now.